Convergencia de clubes en la productividad total de los factores agropecuarios: evidencia mundial, 1961-2022
Este estudio analiza la convergencia de la productividad total de los factores agrícolas mundiales entre 1961 y 2022 mediante la metodología de transición y el test log-t. A partir de datos internacionales, se evalúa si las trayectorias de eficiencia agrícola tienden hacia una senda común de largo plazo. Los resultados muestran una disminución sostenida del índice de dispersión relativa y no se rechaza la hipótesis nula de convergencia global en todas las especificaciones, lo que confirma la existencia de un proceso de convergencia absoluta en la productividad total de los factores agropecuarios. El análisis de clubes identifica un único grupo global, lo que sugiere la homogeneización de las dinámicas tecnológicas en la agricultura mundial. La convergencia observada refleja la difusión internacional de las innovaciones, el fortalecimiento institucional y el aumento de la cooperación científica y financiera. Los hallazgos indican que las políticas globales de innovación, crédito y sostenibilidad pueden generar externalidades positivas comunes. Finalmente, se plantea la necesidad de incorporar dimensiones ambientales y de sostenibilidad para evaluar una posible convergencia verde de la productividad agrícola global.
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